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Market Analysis8 min read

September 28 Recap: Leaned Bearish, MU $1.6B, SPX GEX Negative

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Daily Market Recap on the completed September 28 session printed $14.8B of single-name premium, 64% in calls, with tone leaned bearish at 23% bullish vs 25% bearish. MU led again at $1.6B (Bearish). SPX GEX was Negative at −$14.54B, one session after +$80.06B.

This is a Daily Market Recap readout of the completed September 28, 2026 session. It is not a trade.

Two clocks sit in the same report:

  1. Session tape — single-name (STOCK) premium, sentiment, timing, and movers from AggregatedOptionTrades.
  2. TradingFlow GEX / IV — prior-close chain and meta snapshots (T+1). They do not recompute live 0DTE books.

The session leaned bearish at 23% bullish vs 25% bearish, with $14.8B of single-name premium and 64% of it in calls. The heaviest name was MU ($1.6B, Bearish) for the second session running. Index GEX was Negative on SPX at −$14.54B, and SPY and QQQ were Negative too. That is the finding.

Diagram of the September 28 session: $14.8B single-name tape, leaned bearish 23/25, MU $1.6B, SPX GEX Negative

Tape versus T+1 structure. Sentiment and premium are the session. GEX is prior-close. Neither row is a forecast.

Readers with access can open Daily Market Recap or the dated run market-recap~2026-09-28. Sign-in and an eligible trial or subscription may be required.

What the recap printed

Daily Market Recap header for September 28, 2026, with $14.8B total premium, 64% calls, 36% puts, and 23% bullish vs 25% bearish

Test app, official Daily Market Recap, session 2026-09-28. KPI strip is the session tape. Captured September 29, 2026.

On this run:

  • Session: Sep 28, 2026 (latest completed)
  • Total premium: $14.8B (single-name)
  • Call premium: 64% · put premium: 36%
  • Bullish: 23% · bearish: 25%
  • Tone: leaned bearish
  • Largest sentiment bucket: NEUTRAL $7.7B (bearish $3.7B, bullish $3.5B)
  • Heaviest name: MU $1.6B (glance and leaders table agree)
  • Bottom-line mover: KOD +46.7%

The prior session, September 25, printed $15.6B, 70% calls, and a balanced 22% vs 23%. This session is a little smaller, less call-heavy, and the bearish edge widened from one point to two.

Neutral premium (spreads, hedges, two-sided prints) is not directional. Tone is the bullish-versus-bearish gap, not the neutral bucket.

Session tone for September 28: Neutral $7.7B, bearish $3.7B, bullish $3.5B

Same run, Step 1. Neutral is about half the tape. Bearish leads bullish by $0.2B. Captured in the test app on September 29, 2026.

Bottom line and the day in one glance for September 28, 2026

Same run, Bottom line and glance table. Captured in the test app on September 29, 2026.

Glance, one reading per axis:

AxisSymbolReading
Most option premiumMU$1.6B
Largest Net DEXTSM+0M shares-equiv.
Largest Net DEI magnitudeMDB257%
Highest IV rankBA48 / 100
Index gamma regimeSPXNegative

The Net DEX row printed TSM +0M at the glance's display precision. It says little on this run; quote it as printed and do not read a direction into it.

Leaders: MU $1.6B Bearish

Top names by option premium on September 28, led by MU $1.6B Bearish

Test app, Step 2, session 2026-09-28. Color is net bias on that name, not a forecast. Captured September 29, 2026.

Top of the book:

SymbolPremiumCallPutNet bias
MU$1.6B$1.1B$549MBearish
META$1.1B$704M$386MBearish
NVDA$1.1B$812M$276MBullish
AMD$958M$605M$354MBearish
TSLA$937M$597M$340MBearish
SNDK$843M$504M$339MMixed

Four of the top five are tagged Bearish, and every one of those four is majority calls. NVDA is the only top-five name tagged Bullish. Call share is not net bias.

First recorded window: 09:30, $2.7B. Timing alone does not prove intent.

Largest Net DEI: MDB 257%, associated Net DEX Negative. MDB also sits in the leaders at $416M Bearish, and shows up as an up bar in the movers chart. DEI is unsigned magnitude versus typical volume; DEX is a separate signed classification. Neither proves trader identity or dealer inventory, and a name can be tagged Bearish on a day its price proxy rose.

Highest IV rank among active names: BA 48, 30-day IV 34.3%. INTC also prints 48 on the chart. IV rank is where that name's 30-day implied vol sits in its own past year.

Index GEX: SPX Negative −$14.54B

Index GEX backdrop for September 28: SPX −14.54, SPY −3.33, QQQ −2, IWM −0.94 Negative; NDX +0.26 Positive; DIA −0.01 Negative

Test app, Step 6, session 2026-09-28. GEX is prior-close structure (T+1) under the product dealer-sign convention. Captured September 29, 2026.

IndexNet GEX ($B)Regime
SPX−14.54Negative
SPY−3.33Negative
QQQ−2Negative
IWM−0.94Negative
NDX+0.26Positive
DIA−0.01Negative

Five of six indexes are Negative. NDX is the only Positive row, at +$0.26B. On September 25 it was the other way around: SPX +$80.06B, SPY +$6.69B, QQQ +$2.04B, and only IWM Negative. Those are two snapshots one session apart, not a measured path between them. Negative GEX here is modeled structure, not observed dealer inventory. See Negative GEX is session risk, not a trade.

Headline name: MU at $1,054

MU headline cards: last $1,054, $1.6B premium, 67% calls, 22% bullish, 79% average IV

Test app, Step 8, session 2026-09-28. Headline name is the heaviest premium, not the biggest percent mover. Captured September 29, 2026.

MU on this run:

  • Last: $1,054
  • Option premium: $1.6B
  • Call share: 67%
  • Bullish share: 22%
  • Average IV on traded contracts: 79%

On September 25 the same cards read $1,082, $1.7B, Mixed, 75% average IV. MU led premium both sessions; the net bias moved from Mixed to Bearish.

Biggest prints (as the recap listed them):

TimeTypeStrikeExpiryPremiumSentiment
09:30CALL7202026-10-16$9MNEUTRAL
09:30CALL7402026-10-16$9MNEUTRAL
10:33CALL8002026-12-18$6MNEUTRAL
10:33CALL8002026-12-18$6MNEUTRAL
09:30CALL7602026-10-16$5MBEARISH

MU biggest prints on September 28, led by $9M Neutral 720 and 740 calls for October 16

Same run, Step 8 prints table. All twelve listed prints are calls with strikes from 700 to 800. The two largest are Neutral. Captured September 29, 2026.

Every listed MU print is a call, and every listed strike (700–800) is below the $1,054 last. The largest are $9M each, far smaller than September 25's $38M top print. Six of the twelve rows are the Dec-18 700 call at $4M each between 10:25 and 10:26, four tagged Neutral and two Bearish. 67% call share on MU is not the same as a 22% bullish tape on MU.

Movers: KOD +46.7% and +46.8%

The recap prints two mover readings. This time they name the same stock, one tenth of a point apart.

  • Bottom line: "the day's biggest mover was KOD, up 46.7%."
  • Step 7 key result: leading mover KOD, +46.8%, direction Up.

Biggest movers on September 28: KOD up, OCUL down

Test app, Step 7, session 2026-09-28. intraday_pct is an in-tape first-to-last underlying-price proxy. Captured September 29, 2026.

KOD is the largest up bar by a wide margin; OCUL is the largest down bar. The two KOD readings are separate fields with different rounding. Quote both. Movers are not intent.

What this session is evidence of

QuestionRecap on Sep 28Clock
How large was the single-name tape?$14.8B, 64% callsSession premium
Did the tape lean?Leaned bearish 23% vs 25%; Neutral $7.7BSession sentiment
Where did the dollars go?MU $1.6B Bearish; META $1.1B Bearish; NVDA $1.1B BullishSession leaders
When did premium arrive?First window 09:30 $2.7B30-minute buckets
What was index GEX?SPX −$14.54B Negative; SPY −$3.33B; NDX +$0.26B the only PositiveT+1 snapshot
What did MU print?Last $1,054, 67% calls, 22% bullish; largest prints 720C / 740C Oct-16 $9M NeutralHeadline name + tape
Biggest mover?Bottom line KOD +46.7%; Step 7 key KOD +46.8%Two recap fields

One session is not a trend. Proxies (intraday_pct, simplified GEX) are descriptive estimates, not price forecasts.

Reproduce the findings

  1. Open Daily Market Recap and lock session Sep 28, 2026 (or open market-recap~2026-09-28).
  2. Record the KPI strip: total premium, call/put share, bullish/bearish share, and the Bottom line sentence.
  3. Step 2: confirm MU $1.6B Bearish at the top of premium, and NVDA as the only top-five Bullish tag.
  4. Step 6: confirm SPX −14.54 Negative, SPY −3.33, and NDX +0.26 Positive.
  5. Step 7 and Step 8: write down KOD +46.7% and +46.8% as separate fields, then the MU 09:30 720C and 740C Oct-16 prints.
  6. Stop before "therefore sell MU" or "therefore the next session stays negative GEX."

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